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		<title>Nick&#8217;s Picks: Sweet 16</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2010/03/24/nicks-picks-sweet-16/</link>
		<comments>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2010/03/24/nicks-picks-sweet-16/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Mar 2010 23:46:39 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[     After a rather lengthy lay-off, I am back with more picks, this time for the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament.  The first week of the tourney provided us with some breathtaking moments, none larger than Ali Farokhmanesh drilling a three to put the nail in Kansas&#8217; coffin or Korie Lucious stepping up [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=94&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     After a rather lengthy lay-off, I am back with more picks, this time for the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament.  The first week of the tourney provided us with some breathtaking moments, none larger than Ali Farokhmanesh drilling a three to put the nail in Kansas&#8217; coffin or Korie Lucious stepping up in place of the injured Kalin Lucas and hitting a game winning, buzzer beating three pointer to drop Maryland.  With 12 more games on tap this weekend to decide who heads to Indianapolis to participate in the Final Four, we are left to wonder (for one more day at least) who will become the new Farokhmanesh or Lucious, as well as who will be cutting down the nets and preparing for Indy.  On to the picks.</p>
<p><strong>Midwest Region (St. Louis, Missouri)<br />
</strong><em>(9) Northern Iowa vs. (5) Michigan State:  </em>Each team comes in riding high after trying wins over Kansas and Maryland, respectively.  Farokhmanesh has hit dagger three pointers in both of the Panthers tournament games, adding the game winner from deep in a first round win over UNLV.  MSU has jumped to double digit leads in each of their first two games only to see each go down to the wire.  Sparty will miss All-Big Ten PG Kalin Lucas, who went down against the Terps with a torn Achilles tendon.  Lucious will need to step up again.  Sharp shooter Chris Allen, who only played four minutes against Maryland due to an arch injury, will need to provide big minutes against NIU.  I fully expect the Spartans to press at times, considering the difficulty NIU has breaking Kansas&#8217; press at the end of that game.  MSU should be able to out-athlete the Panthers and run them up and down the floor.  However, this is March, and NIU will do everything they can to slow the game down.  In the end, if Sparty can knock down outside shots like they did against Maryland (10-18, 55%) as well as push the tempo when they have the opportunity, they will be moving on to the Elite 8.  Northern Iowa&#8217;s dream run is going to come to an end Friday night. <br />
<em>(6) Tennessee vs. (2) Ohio State:</em> In my bracket I have the Buckeyes coming out of this region, and now that Kansas has been eliminated they have to be considered the favorites.  OSU has everything you look for in a championship team: a super-star (Big Ten and possible National Player of the Year) Evan Turner; a sharp-shooter (Jon Diebler); a serviceable big man (Dallas Lauderdale); and a talented swingman who has the ability to do it all (David Lighty).  The only knock on OSU is their lack of depth, as three players played all 40 minutes of their second round victory over Georgia Tech.  Tennessee, meanwhile, has had an intriguing season.  Star forward Tyler Smith was kicked off the team early in the season, yet the Vols were still able to defeat Kansas and Kentucky during the regular season, two teams what were #1 seeds in the NCAA tournament.  Wayne Chism needs to step up and keep OSU off the glass if Tennessee has a chance of pulling the upset.  In the end, I just think OSU has too much for Tennessee and will advance to take on Big Ten rival Michigan State in the Elite 8.</p>
<p><strong>West Region (Salt Lake City, Utah)<br />
</strong><em>#1 Syracuse vs. #5 Butler:</em> &#8216;Cuse has looked absolutely unstoppable in their first two tourney games, winning by a combined 55 points over Vermont and Gonzaga.  The Orange will once again be without stud big man Arinze Onuaku, who will sit out his third straight game after injuring his leg in the Big East Tournament against Georgetown.  Butler survived a scare from Murray State in the 2nd round and will need a good game from big man Matt Howard in order to knock off &#8216;Cuse.  After slumping some down the stretch, Big East Player of the Year Wesley Johnson has put up big numbers so far in the tourney, scoring 31 points and grabbing 14 rebounds against the &#8216;Zags.  Butler is definitely a team that can keep it close against Syracuse, but I just don&#8217;t think they can get over the hump.  The Orange move on. <br />
<em>#6 Xavier vs. #2 Kansas State: </em>These two teams have already met once this year, with K State demolishing the Musketeers at home in December.  Guards Jacob Pullen and Denis Clemente have been nothing short of magnificent thus far in the tourney, and the Wildcats have also been dominant on the boards, outrebounding BYU by nine in their 2nd round game.  Xavier escaped against Pittsburgh when a three pointer clanged off the iron as time expired, and also had a little trouble with Minnesota in the first round before pulling away in the second half.  Jordan Crawford will have his moments for Xavier, but in order for them to pull off the upset Jordan Love will need to duplicate his 14 points and 8 rebounds he had against Pitt.  Xavier has the ability to keep this close, especially since this game is on a neutral floor, but in the end, KSU will be moving on.</p>
<p><strong>East Region (Syracuse, New York)<br />
</strong><em>#1 Kentucky vs. #12 Cornell</em>: Cornell has been arguably the most impressive team of the tournament thus far, dominating Temple and Wisconsin behind tremendous three point shooting.  The Big Red were the nation&#8217;s best three point shooting team during the regular season, and Kentucky will have to extend their defense to stop Ryan Wittman, Chris Wroblewski and Louis Dale from raining trey balls all day on them.  Cornell will have most of the nation pulling for them to upset Kentucky, but DeMarcus Cousins and Patrick Patterson will be too much to handle inside.  Throw in John Wall making plays all over the court and Eric Bledsoe hitting open three pointers, and this one should be a relatively easy victory for Kentucky.  Cornell just doesn&#8217;t match up well here.<br />
<em>#11 Washington vs. #2 West Virginia:</em> WVU just lost starting point guard Truck Bryant for the remainder of the tournament to a broken foot suffered in practice.  While the Mountaineers still have Devin Ebanks and Da&#8217;Sean Butler, two of the best players in the Big East, but losing the initiator of their offense will not make things easy.  Washington has peaked at the right time, coming in on a nine game winning streak.  Quincy Pondexter and Isaiah Thomas are the main reason the 11th seeded Huskies have made it this far; if the two continue their high quality of play, there is a great possibility of an upset here.  With Bryant, I think WVU would have won, but without him, I expect the Huskies to pull out a close win and move on to the Elite 8.</p>
<p><strong>South Region (Houston, Texas)<br />
</strong><em>#1 Duke vs. #4 Purdue: </em>The Boilermakers have defied the odds by even making it this far without injured star Robbie Hummel, who tore his ACL against Minnesota at the end of the regular season.  Chris Kramer has really stepped up in his absence, scoring 18 points in an OT win over Texas A&amp;M in the 2nd round.  Duke, meanwhile, has not been challenged so far.  The Blue Devils never let California guard Jerome Randle get into a rhythm, and as a result they were able to maintain a sizeable lead throughout the game over the Golden Bears.  Kyle Singler shot only 1-11 against Cal, but Nolan Smith and Jon Scheyer picked up the slack.  Odds are Singler will not have nearly as bad of a game as he had against Cal, and Duke should be able to pull away late against a depleted Boilermakers squad.<br />
<em>#3 Baylor vs. #10 Saint Mary&#8217;s: </em>The Gaels have looked unstoppable so far against Richmond and Villanova, with big man Omar Samhan leading the way.  Samhan shot 13-16 in the upset over &#8216;Nova, but the Wildcats really didn&#8217;t have anyone that could match up with him.  Baylor, however, does.  Epke Udoh, an excellent rebounder and shot blocker, should keep Samhan in check.  LaceDarius Dunn, who dropped 26 in the Bears 2nd round win over Old Dominion, will also need to step up.  In the end, though, Udoh will be too strong inside for the Gaels, and Baylor will move on.</p>
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		<title>Nick&#8217;s Picks: Conference Championship Weekend</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/12/04/nicks-picks-conference-championship-weekend/</link>
		<comments>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/12/04/nicks-picks-conference-championship-weekend/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Dec 2009 02:23:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>steppnic</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://steppnic.wordpress.com/?p=91</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[     With the regular season most of the way over, it is time to look ahead to this week&#8217;s conference championship games.  Of course, a few important regular season games remain.  The Big East showdown between Cincinnati and Pittsburgh will decide a BCS berth, as will the Oregon-Oregon State game Thursday night.  The game of [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=91&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     With the regular season most of the way over, it is time to look ahead to this week&#8217;s conference championship games.  Of course, a few important regular season games remain.  The Big East showdown between Cincinnati and Pittsburgh will decide a BCS berth, as will the Oregon-Oregon State game Thursday night.  The game of the week is undoubtedly top ranked Florida against #2 Alabama.  It should be a great day in football.<br />
     Last week I finally rebounded from the dismal picks I had been making, correctly pegging West Virginia to upset Pitt and Oklahoma to upset Oklahoma State.  Unfortunately, I didn&#8217;t have it in me to pick my Bulldogs over Georgia Tech, but I will gladly get a pick wrong as long as Georgia wins.  On to this weeks picks&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>(#16) Oregon State at (#7) Oregon: </strong>Never in the history of this rivalry has the winner automatically advanced to the Rose Bowl, but that&#8217;s what&#8217;s on the line Thursday night.  Oregon QB Jeremiah Masoli has been much better since coming back from injury and played great in their double overtime win over Arizona two weeks ago.  The Ducks also have the 13th leading rusher in LaMichael James, who has rushed for 1,310 yards and 19 TD&#8217;s this year.  OSU counters with RB Jacquizz Rodgers, the nations 12th leading rusher, who has gone for 1,313 yards and 19 TD&#8221;s.  The winner in this one will have the most rushing yards; I have to give the edge to the Beavers, because Rodgers has proven he can get it done against anyone.  Oregon State will be playing Ohio State in the Rose Bowl.<br />
<strong>Ohio vs. Central Michigan: </strong>The MAC Championship Game, at Ford Field in Detroit, features a very talented Chippewa squad against a tough Ohio team.  I don&#8217;t think Ohio can contain CMU QB Dan LeFevour, a muilt-threat who is the MAC&#8217;s all time leader in total offense.  He has had a stellar senior year and should be motivated to take home a conference title.  Ohio will hang around for the first half, but in the second Central will pull away just like they have done in every league game so far this year.<br />
<strong>(#5) Cincinnati at (#15) Pittsburgh: </strong>This is the de facto Big East championship game, since the conference doesn&#8217;t have a title game.  The winner earns an automatic BCS bid.  Pitt has the 4th leading rusher in the nation in freshman Dion Lewis, who has put up an impressive 1,446 yards on the year.  However, Cincy QB Tony Pike tossed 6 TD&#8217;s last week in his return to the starting line-up after his arm injury.  Pitt hasn&#8217;t faced an offense like this all season.  I&#8217;m not sure they have the speed to slow up Pike and his top WR Mardy Gilyard.  Cincinnati squeaks out the close victory and earns a BCS berth. <br />
<strong>(#1) Florida vs. (#2) Alabama: </strong>This is the game I can&#8217;t wait to see.  Florida hasn&#8217;t lost since QB Tim Tebow&#8217;s &#8220;promise,&#8221; while &#8216;Bama coach Nick Saban rarely loses to the same team twice in a row.  The Crimson Tide have gotten WR Julio Jones back in to the offense lately, and he was at his best on the game winning drive last week against Auburn.  RB Mark Ingram had a bad game last week and also hurt his hip.  This week he should be good to go and I think he will rebound nicely and put up 100+ yards.  Everyone knows I can&#8217;t stand Florida, and I will be so unhappy if the Gators win and advance to the BCS National Championship Game.  I think this game will come down to special teams, and Alabama has the advantage.  CB Javier Arenas is one of the best return men in the nation.  It will be close deep in to the 4th quarter, but I think &#8216;Bama squeaks it out in a low scoring game. <br />
<strong>(#3) Texas vs. (#22) Nebraska: </strong>I&#8217;ll keep this one close.  Nebraska has absolutely no chance in the Big-12 Championship Game.  Their offense revolves around the run game, and Texas has the top rushing defense in the nation.  QB Colt McCoy will probably not put up gaudy numbers against a good Cornhusker defense, but he will do enough to get the win.  Texas takes it to set up a showdown against &#8216;Bama for the national championship. <br />
<strong>(#10) Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: </strong>Both teams come in to the ACC Championship Game having lost their regular season finales, Tech to rival Georgia and Clemson to rival South Carolina.  The first game between thse two games was a classic, with GT blowing a 24-0 lead to fall behind 27-24 in the 4th quarter before coming back at the end to win 30-27.  Clemson RB C.J. Spiller should be getting an invite to the Heisman presentation in New York, and if he watched tape of the &#8216;Dawgs shredding Tech&#8217;s defense with the run last week, he has to be licking his chops.  The triple option attack for GT will have to be almost perfect, because I don&#8217;t think they will be able contain Clemson.  Clemson upsets Tech and goes on to a BCS game.</p>
<p>More picks (bolded team is predicted winner)&#8230;<br />
<strong>(#21) Houston </strong>at East Carolina: QB Case Keenum will shred ECU in the Conferense USA Championship Game.  ECU has no chance.<br />
<strong>(#23) West Virginia </strong>at Rutgers: WVU is coming off a big win against rival Pitt last week.  Rutgers is a very young team; next year they will contend for the conference title.  This year, though, West Virginia takes them down.<br />
<strong>Fresno State </strong>at Illinois: Fresno RB Ryan Methews, the 3rd leading rusher in the nation, helps send the Illini to their 9th loss of the year.  Illinois QB Juice Williams will play well in his last game at Illinois, but it won&#8217;t be enough.<br />
Arizona at <strong>(#18) USC:</strong> Arizona will suffer from a hangover after their double overtime loss to Oregon two weeks ago.  For the first time in recent memory USC won&#8217;t be playing in a BCS bowl, but they will close the season with a win.<br />
<strong>(#19) California</strong> at Washington: Washington is one year away from being a contender in the Pac-10.  They will keep this one close at home, but Cal has turned it on as of late and gets the win.<br />
South Florida at <strong>Connecticut: </strong>UConn will win their 3rd in a row to close out the year.  They&#8217;ve had a difficult season, with the death of CB Jasper Howard, but they have to be given credit for how they&#8217;ve kept it together.<br />
<strong>Wisconsin </strong>at Hawaii: Hawaii is playing for a bowl berth, but Wisconsin and RB John Clay will be too much.</p>
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		<title>Michigan State vs. North Carolina Preview</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/12/02/michigan-state-vs-north-carolina-preview/</link>
		<comments>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/12/02/michigan-state-vs-north-carolina-preview/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Dec 2009 01:12:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>steppnic</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://steppnic.wordpress.com/?p=85</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[     98-63.  89-72.  Michigan State certainly remembers those two scores from last year, the results of their two meetings with North Carolina, the latter being in the championship game of the NCAA tournament.  The Spartans also are not likely to forget that both meetings took place in the state of Michigan and they could not get [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=85&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     98-63.  89-72.  Michigan State certainly remembers those two scores from last year, the results of their two meetings with North Carolina, the latter being in the championship game of the NCAA tournament.  The Spartans also are not likely to forget that both meetings took place in the state of Michigan and they could not get the job done either time.  They get another crack at the Tar Heels in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge Tuesday night, however.  The game is undoubtedly the highlight of the challenge, which the Big Ten is looking to win for the first time.  Look for a much tighter game than either of last year&#8217;s.  The Spartans enter the game at #9 in the country after a disappointing loss to Florida in Atlantic City last weekend, while North Carolina enters at #11 and also sports one loss, to Syracuse in the championship game of the Jimmy V Coaches vs. Cancer Classic.  Below is a complete breakdown preview of the game.</p>
<p><strong>Guards</strong>: The Spartans are led by defending Big Ten Player of the Year PG Kalin Lucas and also have a strong backup in PG Korie Lucious.  Both are capable of putting up points in a hurry and also creating open shots for their teammates.  Lucas is shooting 45% from three point range going in to the game, a very impressive number.  SG Chris Allen is a very streaky shooter and has a history of not shooting the ball well in big games.  Swingman Durrell Summers has played great so far this season.  UNC lost lightning quick PG Ty Lawson to the NBA, but PG Larry Drew II has filled in admirably this year, putting up 6.7 assists per game.  Swingman Marcus Ginyard is breaking out this year, and SG Will Graves and SG Dexter Strickland provide depth in the Tar Heel backcourt.   <br />
<strong>Advantage: </strong>Michigan State</p>
<p><strong>Forwards: </strong>PF Raymar Morgan is possibly the most over-hyped player to suit up for the Spartans in a very long time.  He does not rebound particularly well (4.6 per game) or score that much (8.4 points per game), but for some reason people across the country are very high on him.  I&#8217;m not.  Forwards Dryamond Green and Delvon Roe provide a solid low post presence and combine for 17 points and 17 boards per game.  UNC&#8217;s front line is its strength.  PF Deon Thompson has broken out now that he is no longer playing along side All-America PF Tyler Hansbrough, putting up 17.7 points and 8.9 boards per game.  Tyler Zeller and John Henson round out the UNC forward core. <br />
<strong>Advantage: </strong>Even</p>
<p><strong>Center: </strong>The center position is the achilles heel for MSU.  Tom Herzog, Garrick Sherman and Derrick Nix are, to put it bluntly, not threatening to an opposing team.  Not much can be said about the three except they provide a big body on the court until coach Tom Izzo decides to go small and play with three forwards.  On the other side, Ed Davis is really coming in to his own, averaging nearly a double-double (12.7 pts, 9.9 boards).  UNC will also rotate Zeller in to the C position when Davis comes out of the game.<br />
<strong>Advantage: </strong>North Carolina</p>
<p><strong>Coaching: </strong>Not a whole lot can be said here except both teams sport Hall of Fame head coaches in Tom Izzo (MSU) and Roy Williams (UNC).  Izzo just became the winningest coach in Spartan basketball history and would love to somewhat avenge the losses from last year.  Neither team has an advantage here; any team in the NCAA would love to have either of these guys running their bench.<br />
<strong>Advantage: </strong>Even</p>
<p><strong>Intangibles: </strong>MSU returns almost their whole team from last year, losing just two players that played consistent minutes (Travis Walton and Goran Suton).  North Carolina, on the other hand, lost their top four scorers from a year ago (Hansbrough, Lawson, Wayne Ellington and Danny Green.)  State has an obvious edge in experience, and UNC has had turnover problems so far this season.  Look for MSU to pressure UNC&#8217;s guards.  North Carolina should dominate inside, but Izzo always has great rebounding teams.  That matchup of the front courts will be very interesting.  The game is in Chapel Hill, seemingly giving UNC a slight advantage.  Experience pays off in a hostile environment, however.<br />
<strong>Advantage: </strong>Michigan State</p>
<p><strong>Prediction: </strong>Michigan State 76, North Carolina 70</p>
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		<title>Nick&#8217;s Picks: Week 12</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/11/25/nicks-picks-week-12/</link>
		<comments>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/11/25/nicks-picks-week-12/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Nov 2009 00:55:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>steppnic</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[     After taking three weeks off, I&#8217;m back to make more picks.  So far this year, pretty much every team I have picked has been cursed, but I&#8217;m looking to start a turnaround with this week.  The Big Ten season is over.  The bottom dropped out on Michigan&#8217;s season and Ohio State once again won [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=82&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     After taking three weeks off, I&#8217;m back to make more picks.  So far this year, pretty much every team I have picked has been cursed, but I&#8217;m looking to start a turnaround with this week.  The Big Ten season is over.  The bottom dropped out on Michigan&#8217;s season and Ohio State once again won the conference.  Michigan State disappointed again versus Penn State.  Iowa and PSU are fighting for an at-large BCS bowl bid.  It was an interesting conference season, one that I will have thoughts on within the next few days. <br />
     The week brings some historical rivalries that appear to be one sided.  Alabama-Auburn, Florida-Florida State, Georgia-Georgia Tech and Texas-Texas A&amp;M headline the matchups.  It should be an interesting week.  On to the picks.</p>
<p><strong>(#3) Texas at Texas A&amp;M:</strong>  This rivalry game will be played Thanksgiving night this year instead of the Friday after.  A&amp;M has won two of the past three in the series.  Texas QB Colt McCoy just set an NCAA career record for most wins.  He can smell the national championship game.  Going in to College Station and emerging from Kyle Field as a winner won&#8217;t be an easy task for the Longhorns.  I expect McCoy to hook up with WR Jordan Shipley at least seven times for a few scores, as he has been his favorite receiver all year, and Shipley may make an impact play on special teams as well.  Texas will win it, but I think it will be close.<br />
<strong>(#2) Alabama at Auburn: </strong>Alabama broke their six game losing streak in this rivalry with a resounding 36-0 win at home last year.  If they win this game they will take on Florida in the SEC title game with the winner going to the BCS title game.  Crimson Tide RB Mark Ingram has been unstoppable lately and Auburn&#8217;s defense is not the best.  The Tigers are coming off a tough 31-24 loss at Georgia where they gave away an early 14-0 lead.  QB Chris Todd was efficient against the &#8216;Dawgs, completing 20 of 28 passes, but his two interceptions were costly.  In order for Auburn to win, Todd will have to match that efficiency and eliminate the turnovers.  Even if that were to happen, I&#8217;m still not sure Auburn could pull the upset.  Their new, amped up offense is going to meet the best defense they have played all season this weekend.  I don&#8217;t see it being close.  &#8216;Bama dominates.<br />
<strong>(#9) Pittsburgh at West Virginia: </strong>The Backyard Brawl is normally a great game.  Two years ago the Panthers went in to Morgantown and knocked off the #2 Mountaineers, thus taking them out of the title game.  Pittsburgh is playing for a conference championship and with it a BCS bowl, and WVU is at home.  RB Noel Devine is going to be the x-factor.  If he can use his speed and stretch the Pitt defense to open up the pass for QB Jarrett Brown then the Mountaineers have a great shot.  They also need to slow down star freshman RD Dion Lewis of the Panthers.  I think the home field advantage tilts the edge in WVU&#8217;s favor in a close game, which I fully expect it to be.  Upset special.  The Mountaineers take it. <br />
<strong>(#18) Clemson at South Carolina: </strong>Steve Spurrier is only 1-3 against his cross-state rivals.  A win here would help salvage what was once a promising season.  Sure, they are going to a bowl game, but they were thinking more than that after knocking off then #4 Mississippi early in the season.  Clemson RB C.J. Spiller has emerged as a legit Heisman candidate in recent weeks and he sports 894 rushing yards, 421 receiving yards and 11 offensive TD&#8217;s on the year.  The Gamecock defense will need to slow him down, but the way he has been running in the past few weeks, I don&#8217;t think it happens.  The Tigers win.<br />
<strong>(#12) Oklahoma State at Oklahoma</strong>: The roles have reversed for this season.  OK State is in line for the BCS bowl, and Oklahoma is looking to be the spoiler.  It&#8217;s only fitting that the Cowboys have to get through the Sooners before moving on to the big stage.  If OKSU QB Zac Robinson plays, I think they have the edge.  If he doesnt, OU&#8217;s QB Landry Jones could lead them to an upset.  The Cowboys haven&#8217;t really missed a beat since losing star WR Dez Bryant for the year because of eligibility issues.  I want to take the Cowboys in this one, but the reports so far this week on Robinson haven&#8217;t been promising.  Another upset: the Sooners ruin OK State&#8217;s season in Norman. <br />
<strong>Florida State at (#1) Florida</strong>: If I have to hear one more thing about Gator QB Tim Tebow&#8217;s senior day I might throw up.  Urban Meyer&#8217;s &#8221;emotional&#8221; press conference about Tebow leaving was disgusting.  I would love seeing the Seminoles win it.  If they do, Bobby Bowden should leave because it would be on a positive note.  But they aren&#8217;t going to.  Florida has been coming on strong in recent weeks and may be peaking at the right time.  They will win it at home and get ready to take on Alabama in Atlanta Dec. 5.<br />
<strong>(#21) Utah at (#19) Brigham Young: </strong>The rivals bump helmets in Provo, where BYU tends to be very strong.  Utah may still be seething after the pounding TCU put on them two weeks ago.  If Cougar QB Max Hall can avoid the turnovers that plague him when BYU loses, they should win.  RB Eddie Wide will be a big part of the Utes game plan, as will 1,000-yard WR David Reed.  I think Hall turns the ball over a couple times and Utah gets the victory. <br />
<strong>Georgia at (#7) Georgia Tech: </strong>ABC&#8217;s prime time game features another historic rivalry from the deep south.  Georgia has been diasppointing all year, coming in to the game with a 6-5 record and a loss in their previous game to Kentucky.  Georgia Tech, on the other hand, is on a roll.  QB Joe Cox has played first halves well recently for the &#8216;Dawgs and then fallen apart in the second half.  UGA could somewhat salvage their season if they knock off a Top 10 Yellow Jackets squad.  If WR A.J. Green plays, Georgia has a shot.  I&#8217;d love to say Georgia is going to win, but I don&#8217;t think they will.  GT rushed for 409 yards in last year&#8217;s upset and the Georgia defense hasn&#8217;t improved at all.  Tech will take it.</p>
<p>More picks (bolded team is predicted winner)&#8230;<br />
<strong>(#5) Cincinnati </strong>at Illinois: Can Bearcat QB Tony Pike play as well as he was before his injury now that he has returned or will the Illini somehow ruin Cincy&#8217;s dream season?<br />
<strong>Nebraska </strong>at Colorado: The Huskers are gearing up for the conference championship game against Texas.  They don&#8217;t want to overlook a desperate Colorado team that is fighting to possibly save coach Dan Hawkins&#8217; job.<br />
Nevada at <strong>Boise State:</strong> Nevada has been on absolute fire lately, winning their last eight games after starting 0-3.  Unfortunately for them, BSU doesn&#8217;t lose on the blue turf.<br />
<strong>(#24) North Carolina </strong>at North Carolina State: Two programs headed in drastically different directions.  This shouldn&#8217;t be close. <br />
<strong>(#25) Mississippi </strong>at Mississippi State: Ole Miss is peaking at the right time, but Mississippi State may be dangerous next year.<br />
Missouri vs. <strong>Kansas:</strong> The Jayhawks have lost six straight and are dealing with turmoil over coach Mark Mangino.  They need this win to become bowl eligible, and QB Todd Reesing gets it done.<br />
<strong>Arkansas </strong>at (#15) LSU: Think LSU coach Les Miles will review his clock management before this game?  After last week&#8217;s debacle, the Tigers will be even more upset after they get shredded by &#8216;Razorbacks QB Ryan Mallett.<br />
Tennessee <strong>at Kentucky</strong>: A Wildcat win here should give coach Rich Brooks the SEC Coach of the Year award.<br />
UCLA <strong>at USC</strong>: USC will not be going to a BCS bowl game for the first time in recent memory, but a win over the cross-town rival Bruins always feels good. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Nick&#8217;s Picks: Week 9</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/10/31/nicks-picks-week-9/</link>
		<comments>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/10/31/nicks-picks-week-9/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2009 01:44:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>steppnic</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://steppnic.wordpress.com/?p=74</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[     My favorite week of the college football season (excluding the bowl season) is finally here.  It&#8217;s time for the game formerly known as the &#8220;World&#8217;s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.&#8221;  Georgia vs. Florida, 2009.  Mark Richt vs. Urban Meyer.  Who will have the last laugh?  I can&#8217;t wait to find out.       This week has [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=74&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     My favorite week of the college football season (excluding the bowl season) is finally here.  It&#8217;s time for the game formerly known as the &#8220;World&#8217;s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.&#8221;  Georgia vs. Florida, 2009.  Mark Richt vs. Urban Meyer.  Who will have the last laugh?  I can&#8217;t wait to find out. <br />
     This week has some serious firepower in terms of great games.  Besides the rivalry down south, Texas and Oklahoma State will battle it out for first place in the Big-12 South division.  Oregon, who has been on fire since their Week One debacle against Boise State, hosts USC in a showdown for first in the Pac-10.  Michigan needs a win over Illinois to avoid a full-fledged free fall after their great start to the year, and a lot of people are anxious to see how Michigan State rebounds after their heartbreaking loss to Iowa last weekend.  It should be a great day of games.</p>
<p><strong>Indiana at (#4) Iowa: </strong>Iowa has been escaping in recent weeks, and their last game was definitely the most dramatric of them all as they needed a 7-yard TD pass by QB Ricky Stanzi as time ran out to beat Michigan State.  Indiana lost by a single point to Northwestern last week, and, sitting at 4-4, needs two wins to become bowl eligible.  They have a tough remaining schedule.  QB Ben Chappell and Co. have their work cut out for them against the Hawkeyes, who lost starting RB Adam Robinson for the year against MSU.  Iowa will start slow yet again, but their undefeated season will continue as they pull away in the second half. <br />
<strong>(#25) Mississippi at Auburn: </strong>Auburn is in a complete free fall right now, and it won&#8217;t get any easier with Ole Miss and QB Jevan Snead coming to town.  Offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn needs to figure things out quickly or what was once a promising 5-0 start for the Tigers may end up in a 5-7 final record.  QB Chris Todd has reverted to his old form, and the ground game has struggled in recent weeks as well.  Ole Miss is looking better after being completely shut down by Alabama a few weeks ago.  The Rebels may not be in the SEC title hunt as they were expected to be, but they can still put together a strong finish.  They need to get speedy RB/WR Dexter McCluster involved in the game early.  When he touches the ball, good things happen for Ole Miss.  I expect him to get plenty of touches, and I expect Ole Miss to win.<br />
<strong>Georgia vs. (#1) Florida: </strong>Oh boy.  How do I pick against my Bulldogs?  This rivalry has gotten spicy in recent years, especially after UGA&#8217;s full team TD celebration after scoring in their 2007 upset of the Gators and UF coach Urban Meyer&#8217;s two timeouts that he took in the waning moments of a 49-10 blowout last year.  The &#8216;Dawgs need to cut down on their penalties.  If they don&#8217;t they are in for a long day in Jacksonville.  QB Joe Cox needs to have a big day as well.  If Georgia gets star WR A.J. Green involved early, it could spell trouble for Florida, who has not been impressive lately defensively.  The &#8216;Dawgs need to hassle UF QB Tim Tebow when he drops back to pass, and look for LB Rennie Curran to be all over the field.  All of these things spell out one thing: an upset for Georgia.  They are due for a good showing, and they had an extra week to prepare because of their bye last week.  Georgia is going to knock Florida from their perch at #1 and from the ranks of the unbeaten, and people will no longer be questioning Richt&#8217;s job security. <br />
<strong>(#19) Miami (FL) at Wake Forest: </strong>I said last week that Clemson is the type of team that can come through any week with a big upset, and sure enough they did last weekend against Miami.  QB Jacory Harris can&#8217;t carry his team alone.  Wake Forest and QB Riley Skinner are an up and down team.  I will keep this one short.  Harris will be unhappy about last week and he is going to torch the Deamon Deacons secondary.  Look for a big Miami win.<br />
<strong>Michigan at Illinois: </strong>Michigan needs a win to become bowl eligible.  They looked miserable last week against Penn State.  QB Tate Forcier has really slowed down after the magical start he had to his career.  Illinois has been downright awful all year and has possibly the most overrated college football player ever in QB Juice Williams.  The Wolverines only put up 250 yards of offense against PSU.  That actually may be enough to take down Illinois.  I don&#8217;t see the Illini keeping this close.  U-M will be bowl eligible after this contest.<br />
<strong>(#22) South Carolina at Tennessee:</strong> I really wonder how Tennessee will respond to their 12-10 loss at Alabama last weekend.  They really should have won the game.  If not for DT Terrence &#8220;Mount&#8221; Cody blocking the Vols game winning field goal attempt, we would be talking about a Tennessee team that got their first signature win for coach Lane Kiffin.  Tennessee&#8217;s defense was great last weekend, holding &#8216;Bama&#8217;s offense to four field goals.  I really expect them to shut down SC&#8217;s offense.  QB Stephen Garcia has been inconcistent throughout his career, and the crowd at Rocky Top will be crazy Saturday night.  I&#8217;m not sure what has gotten into Tennesee QB Jonathon Crompton lately, but he has looked like a completely different quarterback than he has the past few years.  Everyone knows SC coach Steve Spurrier is no stranger to winning in Knoxville.  Unfortunately for the &#8216;Ol Ball Coach, he isn&#8217;t going to win this time.  Tennessee will finish the game this time, and pull out the upset.<br />
<strong>(#3) Texas at (#14) Oklahoma State</strong>: This game is truly a toss up.  Oklahoma State is once again without stud WR Dez Bryant, who has officially been suspended for the remainder of the season.  They are getting last year&#8217;s Big-12 leading rusher back this weekend, however.  Look for RB Kendall Hunter to get involved in this game.  Texas QB Colt McCoy is going to want to stear clear of Cowboy CB Perrish Cox.  Cox is sure to draw the Longhorns&#8217; top receiver, WR Jordan Shipley, McCoy&#8217;s roommate.  I expect Cox to shut him down.  Cowboy QB Zac Robinson has been looking like he did last year, which is good news for OKSU.  I think this is the third upset of the day.  Texas will bow to the Cowboys.<br />
<strong>(#5) USC at (#10) Oregon: </strong>Oregon has rebounded admirably after their opening night disappoinment against Boise State.  USC has played well since being upset by Washington in Week 3.  The Ducks look different after getting QB Jeremiah Masoli back.  I don&#8217;t think USC can march in to Eugene and pull out a win.  The home crowd and the pressure of playing in front of College GameDay will get to Trojans QB Matt Barkley.  Oregon will take a commanding lead in the Pac-10 standings after this one.<br />
<strong>Michigan State at Minnesota: </strong>The winner of this one will likely get to a bowl game, while the loser will probably not make it.  Each team sits at 4-4.  The Golden Gophers lost star WR Eric Decker until their potential bowl game with a foot injury.  That is going to really hurt what was a pretty anemic offense to begin with.  MSU coach Mark Dantonio better have motivated his team for this week, as they are still recovering from their loss to Iowa last week.  I think QB Kirk Cousins and WR Blair White hook up for two TD passes and LB Greg Jones wreaks havoc on the Gopher offense.  CB Chris L. Rucker will also want to redeem himself after getting beat repeatedly last weekend.  State pulls out a win and will inch closer to bowl eligibility.</p>
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		<title>Nick&#8217;s Picks: Week 8</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/10/23/nicks-picks-week-8/</link>
		<comments>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/10/23/nicks-picks-week-8/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2009 16:46:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>steppnic</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://steppnic.wordpress.com/?p=69</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[     After taking two weeks off from picks, I&#8217;m back with predictions for Week 8.  Plenty of big games take place this weekend, from the battle in Ann Arbor (Penn State at Michigan) to a huge Big East game in Pittsburgh (South Florida at Pitt).  Iowa looks to stay unbeaten against Michigan State, and Oklahoma [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=69&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     After taking two weeks off from picks, I&#8217;m back with predictions for Week 8.  Plenty of big games take place this weekend, from the battle in Ann Arbor (Penn State at Michigan) to a huge Big East game in Pittsburgh (South Florida at Pitt).  Iowa looks to stay unbeaten against Michigan State, and Oklahoma may be looking at a losing record after their game against Kansas.  It should be a great weekend in college football.</p>
<p><strong>South Florida at (#20) Pittsburgh: </strong>USF is looking to rebound after their first loss to Cincinnati last week and also wants to avoid the usual October drop off that has plagued them the past few years.  Freshman QB B.J. Daniels has performed well after taking over for star Matt Grothe after he tore his ACL, throwing for 810 yards and 7 TD&#8217;s. For Pitt, QB Bill Stull is looking more and more like an All-Big East QB.  He has been flawless this year, tossing for 1,409 yards and 14 TD&#8217;s while freshman RB Dion Lewis is fourth in the nation with 918 yards.  This one will come down to whether or not the Bulls can slow down Lewis and the Pitt offense.  Coach Dave Wandstett knows this win would be huge for his Panthers.  Pitt pulls out a close victory at home.<br />
<strong>Tennessee at (#2) Alabama: </strong>&#8216;Bama is coming off a big win over South Carolina, while the Vol&#8217;s last game was a decimation of Georgia.  Tennessee has a good enough defense behind All-American CB Eric Berry, but the offense is too one dimensional to be able to put up points on a stiff Crimson Tide defense.  QB Jonathon Crompton will have to be even better than he was against Georgia, and RB Montario Hardesty will have to run all over the place if they want to have a chance.  It won&#8217;t happen.  It will be close because Tennessee&#8217;s defense is good, but &#8217;Bama will never be in any danger.<br />
<strong>Clemson at (#10) Miami (FL</strong>): Clemson can always explode for a huge upset, but it won&#8217;t be here.  Miami has rebounded nicely from being pounded by Virginia Tech in Week 3, and QB Jacory Harris should have his way with Clemson&#8217;s secondary.  The Tigers need RB C.J. Spiller to have a big day and live up to his preseason hype.  I think they will keep it close, but they don&#8217;t have the speed to keep up with Miami in the end.<br />
<strong>(#11) Oregon at Washington</strong>: The Huskies and coach Steve Sarkisian have already pulled off the improbable once, taking down USC in Week 3 at home.  Oregon enters dangerous territory and the crowd in Seattle should be rowdy.  QB Jake Locker has shown he is capable of taking over games (see the USC game and the OT loss at Notre Dame).  The Ducks may be without QB Jeremiah Masoli (knee) once again.  Oregon needs this game to stay ahead of USC in the Pac-10 rankings going in to next week&#8217;s showdown in Eugene.  They aren&#8217;t going to get it.  Washington does it again in my first upset special of the week.<br />
<strong>(#13) Penn State at Michigan: </strong>Penn State traditionally struggles mightily in Ann Arbor (remember 4 years ago undefeated PSU came to the Big House and was dropped on the last play of the game, a 10-yard pass from Chad Henne to Mario Manningham).  Michigan lost two straight to Michigan State and Iowa a few weeks back, but came back last weekend to trounce Deleware State.  Michigan Stadium will be rocking Saturday.  Coach Rich Rodriguez will have his team ready.  Will QB Tate Forcier be able to lead his team to enough points against a tough Nittany Lions defense?  The 1-2 RB punch of Brandon Minor (power) and Carlos Brown (speed) will be huge in this game.  PSU needs QB Daryll Clark to play well and has to hope RB Evan Royster tops 100 yards.  This will be a tight game that comes down to the wire.  I expect Forcier to pull out some last minute heroics yet again and lead the Wolverines to an upset.<br />
<strong>Oklahoma at (#25) Kansas: </strong>Kansas dropped their first game of the year last week to Colorado, definitely a game they shouldn&#8217;t have lost.  QB Todd Reesing, finally in his senior season after seemingly being at Kansas forever, has been throwing the ball around at will to WR&#8217;s Dezmon Briscoe and Kerry Meier.  The Sooners are again without Heisman winning QB Sam Bradford, who reinjured his shoulder last weekend against Texas.  Landry Jones filled in nicely for Bradford earlier in the season and should be able to do it again.  Look for him to look for WR Ryan Broyles early and often.  Even though Oklahoma is 3-3 I&#8217;m not sure this would be considered an upset.  They&#8217;re undoubtedly the best 3-3 team in the land and possibly ever.  I think they come away with a win.<br />
<strong>Boston College at Notre Dame: </strong>BC is a completely different team on the road than at home.  Away from their friendly confines they are 0-2 and average only 10.5 points.  That&#8217;s not a good omen, especially since this game is in South Bend.  Plus, average QB&#8217;s Riley Skinner of Wake Forest and Christian Ponder of Florida State each put up over 340 yards on the BC secondary.  The Fighting Irish have a stellar QB in Jimmy Clausen.  While this is a far cry from the signature win coach Charlie Weis needs to keep his job, the Irish should take it in convincing fashion.<br />
<strong>(#6) Iowa at Michigan State: </strong>The Hawkeyes just keep finding ways to win.  They haven&#8217;t dominated any game yet, with the exception being their 21-10 victory over Penn State.  Iowa will look to unleash RB Adam Robinson againt a solid MSU run defense led by LB Greg Jones.  QB Ricky Stanzi tends to start slow and finish strong for Iowa, but that would be a big risk in Spartan Stadium Saturday.  State has really turned their season around after a miserable 1-3 start and if they win this game they will be tied for the Big Ten lead.  East Lansing will be getting rowdy Saturday night after MSU upsets Iowa and claims a share of the conference lead.<br />
<strong>(#8) TCU at (#16) BYU: </strong>BYU players have revenge on their minds after TCU thrashed them last season.  The Horned Frogs relentless defense will pressure turnover-prone BYU QB Max Hall in to a few interceptions and will probably sack him quite a bit.  TCU needs this game to stay in the BCS hunt.  I just don&#8217;t see BYU winning, especially after they were thrashed at home by a mediocre Florida State team in Week 3.  While I don&#8217;t think TCU will run away with it on the scoreboard, I expect them to dominate the game physically and come away with a win.<br />
<strong>Auburn at (#9) LSU: </strong>This is a big time SEC rivalry game.  Auburn has stumbled the last two weeks after starting 5-0.  LSU&#8217;s only loss came at the hands of top ranked Florida.  LSU hasn&#8217;t blown anyone out yet this season, while Auburn dominated their opponents in their first five games.  QB Chris Todd needs to be at the top of his game against a superior LSU defense.  LSU&#8217;s offense has struggled all year.  They really lack a big play threat.  I want to take Auburn and their new up-tempo offense in this game, but I just can&#8217;t.  LSU will squeak out a tight win.<br />
<strong>(#3) Texas at Missouri</strong>: Texas and QB Colt McCoy have been failing to impress lately.  McCoy went from top Heisman candidate to maybe not even receiving an invite to the ceremony in New York.  WR Jordan Shipley, McCoy&#8217;s roommate, is one of the most lethal play makers in the game.  Not only is he Texas&#8217; leading receiver, he also is one of the top punt and kick returners in the nation.  You never know when he is going to make a big play.  The Longhorns have been plodding along just winning their games, and if they continue to do so they will be fine at the end of the year.  I don&#8217;t see them winning out unless they step their game up though.  An upset won&#8217;t happen here.  Mizzou has been better than expected after losing QB Chase Daniel and WR Jeremy Maclin, but they have lost their last two games to Nebraska and Oklahoma State.  Texas will take down the Tigers to set up a huge showdown next weekend against Oklahoma State in a battle for Big-12 South supremacy.</p>
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		<title>SEC Midseason Review</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/10/21/sec-midseason-review/</link>
		<comments>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/10/21/sec-midseason-review/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Oct 2009 02:51:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>steppnic</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[     It&#8217;s a new year, but the top two teams in the SEC (and the nation for that matter) are the same.  Alabama and Florida are 1-2 again, and are both popular picks to be in the BCS title game behind their terrorizing defenses.  In all likelihood, these two teams will meet in Atlanta again [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=64&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     It&#8217;s a new year, but the top two teams in the SEC (and the nation for that matter) are the same.  Alabama and Florida are 1-2 again, and are both popular picks to be in the BCS title game behind their terrorizing defenses.  In all likelihood, these two teams will meet in Atlanta again for the SEC Championship Game, and the winner will punch their ticket to Pasadena, Calif., for the BCS Championship Game.  However, below these two teams, the league is very bunched together.  No team has emerged as the clear third best team in the conference, and upsets abound (except for &#8216;Bama and UF) and high scoring affairs early in the season have dominated the conference.  Lately, though, defenses have begun to take over again.  Why is that not surprising?  Hopefully the second half of the season will bring us just as much drama (and a few Florida losses).</p>
<p><strong>Offensive MVP: </strong>A week ago, it would have been a toss up.  But after his performance last week, Alabama RB Mark Ingram seperated himself from the pack.  The sophomore has ran for 905 yards, tops in the SEC, and eight TD&#8217;s, while maintaining a 6.7 yards per carry average.  He has also caught three more TD&#8217;s.  Ingram should be on top of everyone&#8217;s Heisman list.  As the schedule gets tougher, &#8216;Bama will probably turn to their run game more and more, and that is great news for Ingram.<br />
<strong>Defensive MVP: </strong>Tennessee&#8217;s Eric Berry is not only the best defensive player in the conference this year, but also one of the best of all time.  He has amassed 50 tackles, and while he has only one interception on the year, that has more to do with the fact that offenses avoid throwing at him than his not playing well.  He also has one fumble recovery.  Berry&#8217;s presence on the field changes games.   <br />
<strong>Biggest Surprise: </strong>Auburn.  They may not be back to the top of the conference yet, but the turnaround already under new coach Gene Chizik and offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn has been evident.  The Tigers offense was anemic to say the least last year, but through seven games this year ranks second in the SEC with 34.9 points per game.  They struggled the last two weeks, being blown out by Arkansas and dropping one they shouldn&#8217;t have to Kentucky, but it&#8217;s obvious that Auburn is headed in the right direction again.  If QB Chris Todd can step up, Auburn can make some splashes over the second half of the season.  A big game against rival #9 LSU looms Saturday, and after that the Tigers still have match-ups with Georgia and Alabama. <br />
<strong>Biggest Disappointment: </strong>Mississippi has been disappointing, but I really didn&#8217;t buy in to them being the 4th best team in the land before the season started anyway.  To me, the most disappointing team has been Georgia.  Their defense has totally forgotten how to tackle and seems to get run through each week, and once again the Bulldogs lead the league in penalties with 9.2 per game.  Their total of 65 penalties is 13 more than the next team, Arkansas.  I really thought Georgia was going to be a contender this year, but it&#8217;s obvious I was wrong.  They still have the best WR in the conference (and maybe the nation) in A.J. Green, who is a close second to Ingram in the Offensive MVP award.  Green leads the SEC with 41 catches (13 more than the next player) and 682 yards (199 more than the next player).  A win over #1 Florida in two weeks would go a long way in easing the pain for &#8216;Dawgs fans.<br />
<strong>Best Game: </strong>Arkansas at Florida.  The Gators escaped 23-20 on a last second field goal against an unranked Razorback team that almost pulled off the upset in The Swamp behind QB Ryan Mallett.  Florida got a few calls in its favor at the end of the game, and it made a difference.  The conference overall has had some stellar games, from South Carolina at Georgia in Week 2 (a 41-37 shootout win for UGA) to Georgia at Arkansas in Week 3 (a 52-41 come from behind win for the &#8216;Dawgs) to LSU at Georgia in Week 5 (LSU escaped from Athens with a 20-13 victory on a TD run with 46 seconds left).  I apologize for each game containing UGA, but they have been in three of the best four games in the conference this year.<br />
<strong>Best Coach</strong>: Nick Saban, Alabama and Gene Chizik, Auburn.  Auburn&#8217;s turnaround behind Chizik was highlighted above, but the Crimson Tide and Nick Saban are rolling along in what very well could have been a rebuilding year.  After losing QB John Parker Wilson and RB Glen Coffee to graduation, &#8216;Bama was supposed to finish behind Ole Miss in the SEC West.  Instead, new QB Greg McElroy and RB Ingram have been great, and though the passing attack has struggled in the last two weeks, the Tide has found ways to win.  Saban is doing an incredible job in Tuscaloosa, and &#8216;Bama may be at the top for a long time.  And by the way&#8230;they dominated Ole Miss 22-3 in Week 6.  This team may come home after the season with a national championship.</p>
<p>Coming Thursday: Nick&#8217;s Picks, Week 8<br />
Coming Next Week: World Series Preview</p>
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		<title>Big Ten Midseason Review</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/10/21/big-ten-midseason-review/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Oct 2009 01:59:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>steppnic</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://steppnic.wordpress.com/?p=60</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[     One half of the college football season is complete, and many questions are yet to be answered.  We have had quite a few surprises thus far in the Big Ten conference already, however; who would have thought Iowa would be leading the league and undefeated after seven games?  Who would have thought Illinois would [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=60&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     One half of the college football season is complete, and many questions are yet to be answered.  We have had quite a few surprises thus far in the Big Ten conference already, however; who would have thought Iowa would be leading the league and undefeated after seven games?  Who would have thought Illinois would be last in the conference, and also have only one win?  Who would have thought Indiana would be looking at a bowl berth?  And lastly, who would have thought that Ohio State would already have two losses and be behind the eight ball in the conference standings?  Hopefully the rest of this season proves to be as exciting as the first half has been.  I&#8217;m going to follow the same format as espn.com&#8217;s midseason reviews, but of course they will be my opinions (and for the record, stats that I don&#8217;t know come off of espn.com normally).  With that being said, let&#8217;s get to it.</p>
<p><strong>Offensive MVP: </strong>I wanted to go with Michigan QB Tate Forcier, but I don&#8217;t think he is the legitimate MVP.  I am going to have to go with Minnesota&#8217;s star WR Eric Decker.  The numbers don&#8217;t lie, and in his case he is head and shoulders above any offensive player in the conference so far this year with the exception of Forcier.  Overall, the Big Ten has been pretty disappointing when it comes to star offensive players this season.  Decker is 4th in receptions (47), leads the league in receiving yards (731), and is 3rd in TD&#8217;s (5).  He is far and away the most lethal offensive weapon on a Minnesota team who really is not that good. <br />
<strong>Defensive MVP: </strong>I really don&#8217;t want to agree with ESPN again, but I have to go with Michigan State LB Greg Jones.  He leads the nation in tackles with 84, and has recorded five sacks and 8.5 tackles for loss.  Jones was the preseason Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year, and he has played like it all year. <br />
<strong>Biggest Surprise: </strong>Wisconsin.  Where in the world did the Badgers come from?  QB Scott Tolzien wasn&#8217;t even named the starter until just before the season started, yet there he was leading his team to a 5-0 start.  Sure they have stumbled the past two weeks, but both games were against Top-15 teams (#9 Ohio State, #11 Iowa).  Tolzien has thrown for 1,436 yards and 9 TD&#8217;s, not spectacular numbers, but he doesn&#8217;t need to be spectacular with the strong running game behind him.  RB John Clay has put up 716 yards and seven TD&#8217;s.  With Michigan the best team remaining on its schedule, Wisconsin can entertain thoughts of a New Year&#8217;s Day bowl in a year that some thought they wouldn&#8217;t even be bowl eligible. <br />
<strong>Biggest Disappointment: </strong>Ohio State.  While Illinois has been downright terrible, realistically it isn&#8217;t that much of a surprise because Ron Zook&#8217;s team tend to underachieve every single year.  Jim Tressel&#8217;s squad has been disappointing.  They dominated USC at home in Week 2, yet somehow found a way to lose as they let the Trojans drive all the way down the field in the waning seconds for the winning touchdown.  That wasn&#8217;t as bad as last weekend though; they were taken down by a Purdue team that was 1-5 at the time.  Sure, Purdue may be the best 1-5 team in the nation, but they had no business beating the Buckeyes.  QB Terrell Pryor has shown flashes of brilliance just like last year, but he can&#8217;t seem to string it together and be consistent.  Turning the ball over four times (as he did Saturday) is not going to cut it.  Pryor has tossed just 10 TD&#8217;s to go along with 8 INT&#8217;s.  The Buckeyes need wins at #13 Penn State and at home against #6 Iowa to have any hope at all of another conference title.<br />
<strong>Best Game: </strong>Notre Dame at Michigan.  There have been quite a few great games in the conference this season (Michigan State at Notre Dame, Indiana at Michigan, Michigan at Iowa, USC at Ohio State), but this one tops them all.  In just his second career game, Tate Forcier led the game winning 57-yard drive in the final 2:13, showing guts and a glimpse of what is to come during his career in Ann Arbor.  WR Greg Matthews caught the game winning 5-yard pass with just 11 seconds left in a definite classic in this rivalry. <br />
<strong>Best Coach: </strong>Michigan State&#8217;s Mark Dantonio.  The popular pick here would be Iowa coach Kirk Firentz, but I have to go with Dantonio.  Spartan teams of old would have collapsed after the disastrous 1-3 start this team endured, which included a last second upset by Central Michigan and a last second loss at Notre Dame.  This team, however, turned it around, beating rival Michigan in overtime and keeping the momentum going over the last two weeks with wins over Illinois and Northwestern.  Dantonio has gotten his team to believe, and they enter this weekend 4-3 and looking at a huge game against Iowa.  A win here would put them in a tie for first place in the league, something that nobody would have seen coming a month ago.  What a turn around it has been in East Lansing.</p>
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		<title>Nick&#8217;s Picks: Week 5</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/10/01/nicks-picks-week-5/</link>
		<comments>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/10/01/nicks-picks-week-5/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2009 23:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>steppnic</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[     I stand corrected.  After stating last week that the only place my picks could go was up, I naturally had an even worse week.  It wasn&#8217;t even the fact that I went 6-6 that really bothered me; rather, it was the scores of my predictions, and not just the ones I got wrong.  How [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=26&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     I stand corrected.  After stating last week that the only place my picks could go was up, I naturally had an even worse week.  It wasn&#8217;t even the fact that I went 6-6 that really bothered me; rather, it was the scores of my predictions, and not just the ones I got wrong.  How about a quick recap, with what I predicted coming first, and what really happened in parentheses: Michigan to &#8220;dominate&#8221; Indiana (Michigan 36, Indiana 33); Michigan State to &#8220;sneak out&#8221; of Wisconsin wih a victory (Wisconsin 38, MSU 30 in a game that was not as close as the score indicates); California to &#8220;squeak out&#8221; a tough win on the road over Oregon (Oregon 42, Cal 3); Miami (FL) to &#8220;cruise&#8221; over Virginia Tech (VT 31, Miami 7); Georgia to &#8220;make it ugly&#8221; against Arizona State (UGA 20, ASU 17 on a last second field goal); and Penn State to remain &#8220;unscathed&#8221; after their Iowa game (Iowa 21, PSU 10).  Add to that that I missed on both of my upset specials, and it made for an ugly week.  Clearly someone who has never watched football could have done a better job than I did last week.  Alas, with all that being said, I now firmly believe that my picks truly can go nowhere but  up from here.  Hopefully I don&#8217;t put that theory to the test again this week.</p>
<p><strong>(#22) Michigan at Michigan State:</strong> The records have to be set aside for this game, as it&#8217;s a huge rivalry.  Michigan has overachieved so far in Rich Rodriguez&#8217;s second season in Ann Arbor, and the Spartans have underachieved in what was supposed to be an even better season than the last.  U-M enters 4-0, while Sparty is 1-3.  Wolverine fans have to hope QB Tate Forcier&#8217;s sprained shoulder is feeling better, because he will be the key to the game.  If he makes freshman mistakes in his first road start, MSU can pull off the upset behind QB Kirk Cousins and WR Blair White.  Both secondary&#8217;s have been suspect early in the season, and each quarterback should be able to exploit that weakness in the other team.  This should be a high scoring affair, but how can I go against Michigan with how they have been playing?  Even after an off game against Indiana, I just don&#8217;t see them losing to MSU.<strong><br />
(#4) LSU at (#18) Georgia: </strong>Anyone that knows me knows that Georgia is my team.  I am somewhat biased, and that is putting it mildly.  In my opinion, LSU is the most overrated team in the nation by far, putting up unimpressive wins in each game thus far.  QB Jordan Jefferson has been sub-par at best.  UGA&#8217;s defense has been a remedy for struggling offenses so far this season though, with South Carolina and Arkansas torching the unit early in games.  For Georgia, WR A.J. Green is playing as good as anyone in the nation, and QB Joe Cox looks for him often.  Look for the &#8216;Dawgs to go up two scores early between the hedges and hold on to beat the Tigers in my upset special.<br />
<strong>(#15) Penn State at Illinois:</strong> I really don&#8217;t know what to make of Penn State.  QB Daryll Clark struggled mightily last week against a tough Iowa defense, and RB Evan Royster hasn&#8217;t broken the 100-yard rushing barrier in three games.  The Nittany Lions were obviously overrated as they showed last week, but Illinois is just plain bad.  They failed to put up any points last week against Ohio State, and they may not put up any in this game.  PSU wins on the road.<br />
<strong>Washington at Notre Dame: </strong>Fighting Irish QB Jimmy Clausen is still battling turf toe, but he pulled through in the clutch last weekend against Purdue when his team needed him the most, engineering the game winning touchdown drive.  Washington pulled off an upset over then #3 USC at home two weeks ago, then went out last weekend and lost to Stanford 34-14 in an uninspiring performance.  The Huskies are definitely on the rise, but I think they are going to have to wait one more year to beat the Irish.  Clausen sports a 172.9 passer rating and has shown vast improvement this year, and he leads his team to another victory.<br />
<strong>Texas A&amp;M vs. Arkansas: </strong>A&amp;M comes into this game unbeaten and untested, while Arkansas dropped a tough one to Georgia and then got blown out by Alabama last week.  The Razorbacks are a team with plenty of offensive firepower, and QB Ryan Mallett is a phenom in the making.  &#8216;Bama showed last weekend that Mallett is less effective while under pressure, forcing him into a 12-35 day for only 160 yards in a blowout.  Aggie QB Jerrod Johnson has tossed nine touchdowns and no interceptions so far this year, but has yet to face a decent opponent.  I want to take A&amp;M but I can&#8217;t.  Arkansas gets the victory.<br />
<strong>Auburn at Tennessee: </strong>Auburn has been flying high under new offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn, and QB Chris Todd is having an excellent season so far.  Tennessee has really been up and down, blowing out Western Kentucky in Week One, playing a lackluster game in Week Two against UCLA (and losing), holding Florida to 23 points in Week Three (also a loss), and then having another disappointing showing last week against Ohio in a 34-23 win.  QB Jonathon Crompton just can&#8217;t hold his own in the SEC.  Tennessee won&#8217;t rise back to elite status until they get a quarterback who can throw downfield and is accurate on mid range throws.  Crompton just doesn&#8217;t cut it.  Auburn moves on to 5-0.<br />
<strong>(#7) USC at (#24) California: </strong>Cal laid an egg last week, getting thumped by Oregon on the road 42-3.  RB Javhid Best was held under 100 yards rushing for the first time all year, carrying for only 55 yards in the defeat.  His Heisman hopes undoubtedly took a hit.  USC responded to being upset by Washington with a 27-6 win at home over Washington State, a win that can hardly be described as a rebound.  The Trojans seem to lack the offensive firepower that USC team&#8217;s of old have possessed, and I think their reign atop the Pac-10 comes to a halt this season.  The Golden Bears will send USC to their second conference loss in only three games.<br />
<strong>(#8) Oklahoma at (#17) Miami (FL): </strong>Miami is another team that disappointed last week, falling to Virginia Tech.  QB Jacory Harris needs to lead his team to a victory in this game if the &#8216;Canes want to keep their outside shot at a national title alive.  Oklahoma will once again be without Heisman Trophy winning QB Sam Bradford, who they thought would return this weekend from a separated shoulder.  Landry Jones will make his third consecutive start.  OU&#8217;s defense has been stellar this season, giving up only 13 points in three games and have shut out their last two opponents.  As much as I&#8217;d like to take Miami, I can&#8217;t.  Oklahoma&#8217;s defense is just that good.  OU goes into Miami and steals a win.</p>
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		<title>Nick&#8217;s Picks: Week 4</title>
		<link>http://steppnic.wordpress.com/2009/09/25/nicks-picks-week-4/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Sep 2009 01:05:07 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[     This week marks the quarter point of the college football season, as most teams will be playing in their fourth game.  Hopefully the results of this week are more kind to me, as I was only 5-4 in Week 3.  The good of last week: Georgia pulling it out over Arkansas and Texas squeaking out a [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=steppnic.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9424229&amp;post=15&amp;subd=steppnic&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>     This week marks the quarter point of the college football season, as most teams will be playing in their fourth game.  Hopefully the results of this week are more kind to me, as I was only 5-4 in Week 3.  The good of last week: Georgia pulling it out over Arkansas and Texas squeaking out a win over Texas Tech;  the bad: picking Michigan State to continue their winning streak in South Bend; and the ugly: taking USC to roll over Washington.  As far as I&#8217;m concerned, it can only get better from here.  With that being said, on to this week&#8217;s picks.   </p>
<p><strong>(#22) North Carolina at Georgia Tech:</strong>  Georgia Tech couldn&#8217;t get their offense clicking last week when they were dropped by Miami.  North Carolina didn&#8217;t put away East Carolina until they scored a late touchdown.  Neither team has been very impressive so far, and last year North Carolina shut down Tech&#8217;s triple option attack in a win.  However, I don&#8217;t think QB Josh Nesbitt will let his team drop to 1-2 in the ACC.  The Yellow Jackets make just enough plays to pull out the win at home. <br />
<strong>Indiana at (#23) Michigan:</strong>  Knocking off Eastern Michigan with QB Tate Forcier not playing well isn&#8217;t too much of an accomplishment.  This week the Big Ten season starts for the Wolverines.  Forcier will need to keep improving each week in order for U of M to stay in contention for a conference title.  In this battle of unbeatens (both teams are 3-0) I think Michigan RB Carlos Brown, who rushed for a career high 187 yards last week, will have another huge day and the Maize and Blue dominate.<br />
<strong>Michigan State at Wisconsin:  </strong>MSU has once again disappointed in a season in which expectations were high.  I think this team is more talented and has better coaching than the Spartans of old, however, coach Mark Dantonio knows his team can&#8217;t go on a 3-game losing streak early in the season and expect to get to a New Year&#8217;s Day bowl.  Look for QB Kirk Cousins to rebound after a big mistake that cost State the game last week.  Camp Randall Stadium isn&#8217;t the easiest place to play, and I know I said in my &#8220;Ten Things I Think&#8221; column that MSU is looking at a 1-4 start, but I just don&#8217;t think they will let it happen.  Sparty will sneak out with a close victory. <br />
<strong>Arkansas at (#3) Alabama:  </strong>Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett had a huge day last weekend against Georgia, throwing for 408 yards and 5 touchdowns, but his team still lost.  Mallett is also the nation&#8217;s leader in passing efficiency.  He hasn&#8217;t faced a defense anything close to Alabama&#8217;s yet, as the Crimson Tide field what may be the nation&#8217;s best defensive unit.  LB Dont&#8217;a Hightower will be after Mallett all game long, and as UGA showed last week, he isn&#8217;t the same quarterback while on the run.  I was close to taking the Razorbacks in this one, but I just don&#8217;t think &#8216;Bama&#8217;s defense will be as easy to score on as Georgia&#8217;s was.  The Tide take it.<br />
<strong>(#6) California at Oregon:  </strong>This game is interesting.  California has the ability to run the table in the Pac-10 after USC&#8217;s loss last weekend.  RB Javhid Best has planted himself thick in the Heisman race and QB Kevin Riley is playing well.  Oregon QB Jeremiah Masoli is coming off a 4-16 passing day and hasn&#8217;t looked anything like he did last year in leading the Ducks to a Holiday Bowl win over Oklahoma State.  He is really going to need to step up Saturday for the Ducks to have a chance.  Cal squeaks out a tough win on the road.<br />
<strong>(#9) Miami (FL) at (#11) Virginia Tech:</strong>  The Hurricanes have looked great so far this season, and as far as I&#8217;m concerned, if they win this game they should be #1.  That would be three wins over ranked teams in their first three games, and I think they will get it.  QB Jacory Harris throws the ball at will, and the &#8216;Canes rushing attack has looked great with Javarris James and Graig Cooper carrying the load.  Va. Tech QB Tyrod Taylor will need to have a big game if the Hokies want a win.  Miami&#8217;s offense is way better than Nebraska&#8217;s and should be able to put points up against a Tech defense that isn&#8217;t as strong as it has been in recent years.  Miami will cruise.<br />
<strong>Illinois at (#13) Ohio State:  </strong>Illinois ended Ohio State&#8217;s undefeated season and knocked them from their #1 ranking two years ago with an upset at the Horseshoe.  QB Juice Williams had a career high 4 TD&#8217;s that day, and the Fighting Illini will need a performance like that again to hang with the Buckeyes.  OSU QB Terrell Pryor is a better version of Williams.  I would love to see Illinois pull another upset on Ohio State&#8217;s home turf, but it won&#8217;t happen.  Ohio State is the far superior team.<br />
<strong>(#1) Florida at Kentucky:  </strong>I&#8217;d love to take Kentucky.  An upset in this game would just make my day.  Gator QB Tim Tebow can&#8217;t throw the ball downfield, but luckily for him and UF he won&#8217;t need to in this one.  The Gators will stay at the top of the polls for another week after they win.<br />
<strong>Arizona State at (#21) Georgia:  </strong>Georgia QB Joe Cox tied a school record with 5 TD&#8217;s passing against Arkansas and has had two straight impressive games after a dismal Week One.  WR A.J. Green has also shown that he is possibly the best receiver in the SEC with two great games of his own.  The Sun Devils will be playing their first decent team after opening with three glorified scrimmages.  The &#8216;Dawgs are going to pour it on early and often.  Cox may tie his own record between the hedges Saturday night.  This one may get ugly in a UGA win. <br />
<strong>Iowa at (#5) Penn State:  </strong>Iowa ended the Nittany Lions undefeated season and national championship dreams last season on a last second field goal at Kinnick Stadium.  This year, both teams enter undefeated, and Penn State will be looking at their first real competition of the season.  I don&#8217;t think they have shown everything in their arsenal the first three weeks.  This game is in Happy Valley, at night, and you can bet the crowd will be in all white and loud as can be.  Is anything going in Iowa&#8217;s favor?  No.  And I don&#8217;t expect anything to all night.  Joe Pa&#8217;s squad moves on unscathed.<br />
<strong>Notre Dame at Purdue:  </strong>Charlie Weis&#8217;s squad lost star WR Michael Floyd to a broken collarbone last weekend, depriving QB Jimmy Clausen of his best receiver until at least the bowl game.  Clausen himself is battling turf toe.  The Fighting Irish came away with a gritty victory over Michigan State last weekend, but know they would have lost had Spartan QB Kirk Cousins hit a wide open receiver in the end zone with just 30 seconds left.  He didn&#8217;t, and on the next play he threw the game-clinching interception for the Irish.  Purdue played tough with Oregon two weeks ago, then came out and laid an egg at home against Northern Illinois last weekend.  The outcome of this game obviously rides on which Boilermaker team shows up Saturday night.  I&#8217;m betting they will be pumped up for this primetime game at home, and this is my upset special.  Purdue takes down Notre Dame.<br />
<strong>Texas Tech at (#17) Houston:</strong>  Red Raider QB Taylor Potts threw for 430 yards in his first road game last week and kept his team close until the end against #2 Texas.  Houston QB Case Keenum has put up Heisman-like numbers in his first two games this year, tossing for 725 yards and 7 TD&#8217;s against only one interception.  This is Houston&#8217;s first game as a ranked team since 1991.  It should definitely be a shoot-out, but TTU showed last week that they can still hang with the top schools even without Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree.  I would love to see Houston&#8217;s dream run continue, but I believe Texas Tech will prevail (upset special #2) in a game that could see each team score 50+ points.   </p>
<p><strong>Note:  </strong>If I would have gotten this up in time to pick the (#4) Ole Miss at South Carolina, I would have gone with S.C. in an upset.  I think the Rebels are overrated and Steve Spurrier&#8217;s team is bound to beat a Top-5 team at home eventually.  As it stands and I am writing this, the score is 3-3 with 1:36 remaining in the first half, so my opinion is not swayed either way.</p>
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